May 11, 2014

A sigmoid dialogue

I just rediscovered a little discussion about why extrapolating the future is tricky in a forgotten folder: A Sigmoid Dialogue.

This issue has annoyed me for quite some time. Still, I do make use of this kind of extrapolation: it is just that I use it to make scenarios rather than claim I know where the trend actually is going.

Posted by Anders3 at May 11, 2014 12:42 AM